By Karl Freitag
The semi-finals of the Super Six tournament will begin to shape up after the first Group Stage 3 match between Mikkel Kessler and Allan Green on September 25, and Kessler holds the key. If Kessler wins, he advances to the semi-final. A Kessler win, would also mean Andre Dirrell could not advance with a loss against Andre Ward later that night, regardless of the outcome of the Arthur Abraham-Carl Froch matchup the following week.
On the other hand, Dirrell does control his own destiny. If he beats Ward, both he and Ward would advance regardless of any other results.
It’s possible that both Abraham and Froch will have already have qualified for the semi-final depending on the previous week’s results. In any event, the winner is sure to advance regardless of what happens in other fights.
Green could overturn the applecart with an upset win over Kessler, however having inherited Jermain Taylor’s loss to Abraham coupled with his one-sided defeat against Andre Ward, he almost certainly needs a 3-point KO win over Kessler, combined with a loss by Direll against Ward or a loss by Froch against Abraham.
There are also other possibilities that could unfold.
The nightmare scenario would be if Green wins a decision against Kessler and Ward and Abraham also triumph. That would leave Green, Kessler, Dirrell and Froch all tied with two points. Two would advance using a system based on total scorecard points.
Draws would add further complexities. (Click here for official tie-break regulations.)
The result of Kessler-Green will go a long way toward clarifying the Super Six semi-finals.